The best hidden gems and little known destinations - straight to your inbox. Over the next 10 days high temperatures gradually warmed through the 60's into the 70's peaking on the 27th with a monthly high temperature of 79. The coldest periods will be in late November, mid- and late December, and mid-January. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.57" BELOWnormal & ranks as the 14th driest January through March period on record. ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. Equal chances use the map provided below. Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. Additionally, there were five record temperatures that were either set or tied. If you are NOT receiving the e-mails and are a full member, your account is either expired or you need to troubleshoot. The Tucson International airport, the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 4.94" which ranks as the 46th driest monsoon on record. A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. Add the current city. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 111 on June 16th to a low of 66 on June 5th. The 30-year-old Musgrove is coming off the best season of his career and a stellar postseason run that included 7.0 dominant innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game 3 against the Mets in New York. As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. How Winter Fashion Has Changed in 100 Years (PHOTOS), Eerie Vintage Photos of People Battling the Flu, Democratic Republic of the Congo | Franais, State of Vatican City (Holy See) | Italiano. Enter any city, zip or place. Weather Forecast Office. So, what about this month? Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.48" is 1.20" BELOWnormal and ranks as the 17th driest January/February period on record. There should be no reason you shouldnt be informed. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is seven-tenths of a degree above normal and ranks as the 17th warmest January on record. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly aren't in the clear either. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. The number could've been higher as there were eight days that recorded a high of 99. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in February 2024.. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. Our outlook has the highest confidence of a cold February in the Northern Plains and upper Midwest. So here is the breakdown If you want to fix your roof, this is the best month to do so just in-case feb/mar/apr become active again, Southern California We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. With that being said, the colder than normal temperatures are already being felt in both regions. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely! Today, Katie writes for the Texas and Arizona pages of OnlyInYourState.com and has never been more passionate about a job before. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 2.82" which is just over eight-tenths of an inch above normal and ranks as the 34th wettest August on record. IsArizonaa good place to visit in the winter? February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. The free 12News+ app from 12News lets users stream live events including daily newscasts like "Today in AZ" and "12 News" and our daily lifestyle program, "Arizona Midday"on Roku and Amazon Fire TV. Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. Apr. One record temperature was set during the month. PHOENIX (3TV/CBS 5) Look for one last, mostly sunny day before an unsettled weather pattern arrives for the next few days in Arizona.Light winds and high clouds can be expected this morning . The possibilities are all there you just need to discover them. In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. Please try another search. CPC forecasts, thanks to weakening La Nia conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, probabilities leaning for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for most the remainder of the year. Winter 2021-2022 One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 If it says liked, dont hit it because thats unfollowing and you wont get updates at AZWF page on your feed. Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. Questions? The widely followed youtube weather channel, is calling for a mixed bag of weather this upcoming winter season. One exception was the pandemic year of 2020, when travel all but came to a. La Nia is expected to be the main driver for the third winter in a row. Then it smashed that record. Last year, the Almanac predicted many of the 2021-2022 winter storms, most notably: the early-season nor'easter in the end of October, and the unusual blizzard in the last week of April (in parts of Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas). Global Warming Begins at the Poles - Ends at the Poles 2022-2024. CLIMAS_report_2022_final.pdf Southwest Climate Outlook October 2022 On average, the Tucson airport records two days with thunderstorms. You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area Combined with last years August average temperature being 1.2 below normal, this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be below normal. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). The monthly average temperature of 71.4 is 1.2 BELOW normal and ranks as the 40th warmestOctober on record. This is tied with 2008 for the lowest Spring average dating back to 1946. NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. Amounts ranged from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". the . Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, has varied widely across the metro area. There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. Some of our favorite winter destinations in Arizona include the adorable little town of Flagstaff, the amazing Mount Lemmon in southern Arizona (the drive up alone is incredible), and mountain towns like Payson and Prescott. The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. The arrows point to the cooler than average water in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, indicative of La Nia. Discover our growing collection of curated stories on Washington State. Thus expect the consecutive year streak of above normal temperatures to be extended to 25 years. NWS The Farmers' Almanac predicts winter will be wild in much of the United States, but pretty average in Utah. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. For an oddity record, the eight days with a high of 99 is the most on record for the month of August & any calendar month dating back to 1895. According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. With that in mind, let's dig into the month-by-month details and follow up with some of the factors driving this forecast. PHOENIX It's a wet start to 2022 across Arizona! This update comes as Arizona sits deep in drought. Give Light and the People Will Find Their Own Way. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. Here was the tweet the office issued. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. The average yearly temperature is below normal for the calendar year through the end of March for the first time since 2017 and the fourth time this century (2001 & 2013). That means that La Nina is NOT controlling the current weather pattern for the season thus far. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. There should be enough snow on the ground still if you're looking to hit the slopes, but any further lashing will (hopefully) hold off for a little while longer. The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. To troubleshoot, here is the link to get situated. Severe thunderstorms hit portions on the metro area on the 21st and 26th. One of the strongest thunderstorms of the month hit the airport on the evening of the 23rd with a wind gust of 76 mph. Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. While anything is possible, it appears a season full of mellow days and drier air is ahead, so get your sweaters. Reuben Salazar clears snow from his home in Flagstaff on Feb. 23, 2022. By contrast, much of the southern third of the nation from the Southwest into the Southern Plains, Southeast and Florida is expected to have a warmer-than-average January. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. Free Long Range Weather Forecast for Flagstaff, Arizona. Multiple locations were found. Winter is a great time to hike the Grand Canyon (just be careful of ice), and its also a fun time to go camping in the milder central and southern parts of the state. It is certainly a possibility with the threat of another La Nia on the horizon. Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. The previous highest amount for October was 7 days in 1983, 2000 & 2015. The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! Dry and warmer temperatures were on tap from the 17th to the 22nd. Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? Fall was dry with above normal rainfall returning to the area during December. If you are a current member and NOT on a monthly plan, your Winter 2022 tier expires March 1st, but do not renew until the Spring 2022 tier is opened, which youll receive an email then. Colder weather is predicted to come in between Nov. 16 and 19 and settle in for good come Nov. 24 to 27. On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. While its critics say its weather predictions are essentially a flip of the coin, Geiger said in general he has been told the forecasts are about 80% accurate and are especially on target when it comes to winter forecasts. An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. Check out the full 2022-23 Extended Winter Weather Forecast from The Farmer's Almanac below. All NOAA. The monthly average temperature of 85.8 is 1.1 BELOW normal ranks as the 38th warmest August on record. World; United States; Arizona; Weather in Phoenix; Weather in Phoenix in November 2022. As if unprecedented flash flooding during this years monsoon season wasnt enough to deal with, it looks like Arizona might get a little reprieve from extreme weather in the winter. August 29, 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month. Nine Ways To Tell The Difference. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.27" which is around a third of an inch above normal and ranks as the 37th wettest December on record. The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. Weekly sea-surface temperature anomalies in degrees Celsius from early Sept. through early Oct. 2022. These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. March climate data across southeast Arizona, Spring climate data across southeast Arizona. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. 27, 2022 The posted Quail Forever forecast of a bird hatch in NM and AZ is pretty bleak with drought conditions continuing throughout the Southwest. And I will say, it looks opposite of December 2021s with a different atmosphere and this is for both Southern California and Arizona Weather Force so read on for details after the first paragraph . This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". The state's smoky skies were caused by a wildfire in Arizona, but the National Weather service said Monday's smoke and heat will be gone Tuesday. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. However, this ingredient in the forecast cannot be predicted until winter is in progress. Nov. 17, 2022 Finally. One temperature record was set during the month when the high of 85 on the 19th set a daily cool high record, besting the old record of 86 from 1966. Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.28" which is over a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 38th driest January on record, tied with 1929. This is the least amount in a year since there was ten in 2008. Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 85 on December 1st to a low of 26 on February 3rd.