Now things start getting interesting. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. dr ali binazir odds of being born. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. Me neither. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? The Zen philosopher, Basho, once wrote, A flute with no holes, is not a flute. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. The chances that they would then get knocked up? Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 10 2,685,000. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. on May 07, 2020: Rupert, in spite of too many odds in a probability, bottom line is that it is just 2 numbers of the roulette, black and red. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? They agree to within a factor of two! Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. saving. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. June 24, 2022 . I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Part of HuffPost Wellness. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Your email address will not be published. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Thats going to take a LONG time. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. An unimaginably long time. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver.

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